Election Research Make Up Assessment

Election Projections: Exploring What’s at Stake in the Battle for the Senate

By 
 

On Nov. 4, the country will once again head to the polls (or at least, about 45 percent of eligible voters will). President Obama has two years left in his term, and the House is solidly controlled by the Republicans, but the Senate is where the real action seems to be this year. Pundits are guessing that the Senate may switch hands, with Republicans wresting control from Democrats for the first time since the 2006 election. Is that a big deal? Should we care?

In this exercise, you will predict the Senate outcome, fill out their own ballots and consider what’s at stake in these elections. ...

On Nov. 4, the country will once again head to the polls (or at least, about 45 percent of eligible voters will). President Obama has two years left in his term, and the House is solidly controlled by the Republicans, but the Senate is where the real action seems to be this year. Pundits are guessing that the Senate may switch hands, with Republicans wresting control from Democrats for the first time since the 2006 election. Is that a big deal? Should we care?

Discuss What’s at Stake: Read the article “Why Senate Control Matters” by David Leonhardt. As you read, annotate the article for any evidence or insight about what is at stake in the battle for the Senate. Then, write a short reflection in which you discuss that very question: What’s at stake in this midterm election?

Predict Who Will Win the Senate: The Senate, which has been held by Democrats since 2007, is up for grabs this year. Right now Democrats control 55 seats, while Republicans have 45 seats. Each party is heading into the election with 44 “safe” seats. The outcome of the other 12 races is what everyone seems to be watching.

Make predictions for 12 battleground states to determine who will win the Senate using this  “November to Remember” handout (PDF). Use the links for each of the 12 states in the handout. You may also want to refer to the following Times resources: “Elections 2014: Make Your Own Senate Forecast, “How Senate Forecasts Compare” and “Who Will Win The Senate?” Be sure to explain your decision for each race.

 

Election Projections: Exploring What's at Stake in the Battle for the Senate. (n.d.). The Learning Network Election Projections Exploring Whats at Stake in the Battle for the Senate Comments. Retrieved October 17, 2014, from http://learning.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/10/16/election-projections-exploring-whats-at-stake-in-the-battle-for-the-senate/